According to Juseleeno Nobulega Daroose, or Jucelino Nobrega da Luz of Brazil, there will be an 8.1 magnitude earthquake today, July 18, 2008 here in the Philippines. His prediction has travelled through millions of e-mail inboxes and panic cellphone texts, and What is the truth behind this “prophecy” or prediction? Will we be hit by a ground-rocking of that magnitude? What will be left of the country in case this really happens? Or is this just one of those false predictions and can be considered the biggest hoax of the year?

Well, if you will consider the science, and I think you should, PHIVOCS has already issued a statement that the prediction, and all the e-mails and texts that go with it, are all bogus.

Here’s an excerpt from the Inquirer article regarding PHIVOLCS stand on this issue.

July 18 is not doomsday for the Philippines.

The Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology (Phivolcs) has dismissed as bogus an e-mail warning of an 8.1-magnitude earthquake that would shake the country next week.

“There is no basic science behind it,” Phivolcs Director Renato Solidum Jr. said in a phone interview with the Philippine Daily Inquirer following a 4.5-magnitude tremor that rocked several portions of Luzon Sunday night.

Solidum said there was no science organization that could determine or predict an earthquake—its exact magnitude and date.

So there you go. There will be no eartquake today, according the the leading scientific body in the Philippines. But then again PHIVOLCS made a lot of mistakes in predicting the path and strength of recent typhoons that hit us… So my stand is, you’ll never know.

What if I predict an earthquake on July 19, 2008 instead? Will anyone believe me.

Exactly my point.

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